YOUR PRIVATE WORKSPACE
Game day.
Have an exit plan.
Enter your access code to open your Kalshi calculator and trading journal.
ORACLE / READ ONLY
Independent market measurements
Read ORACLE's collection status, standings and explanations. This connection does not submit orders or change trading settings.
Open ORACLE measurementsYOUR PERSONAL ASSISTANT
Chat with Qwen
Chat about an idea, or choose Code in this repo to give Qwen a task. Coding mode can inspect and edit this local checkout and run checks. Recent messages provide context; chat clears when you lock or reload.
Sending a coding task lets Qwen edit files and run commands in this repo. Review the changes with git diff. Tasks can take up to five minutes. Keep this page open until the task finishes.
Checking local Qwen…
Local terminal
PowerShell commands run on this PC, starting in this repo. Each command opens a fresh shell. Keep commands under two minutes.
TODAY / CHICAGO
Plan the trade. Know the exit.
Live markets, a fee-aware target, and a record you can learn from.
YOUR CONTROL / REAL MONEY
Live trading OFF
Checking live-execution readiness...
Daily 5% to 20% return band: waiting for worker status.
Autonomy is governed by realized account return each America/Chicago day: keep seeking qualifying entries while below about 5%, trade normally between 5% and 20%, and stop new buys at or above 20% until the next Chicago day. 5% is a seek target, not a guarantee. Open marks and reserved capital are not counted as profit. Size scales with available cash and remaining room to the ceiling. Cash after reserves, unresolved-intent pause, and the OFF switch still bind. Experimental cash-out targets remain 3-5% after estimated fees. Paper research runs independently. OFF stops submissions and cancels outstanding bot orders; existing positions remain open and an in-flight order may still fill.
Pre-event longshots / all sports
Uses the same daily 5% to 20% band and available cash. No lifetime dollar cap. Resting take-profit orders expire 30 minutes before the verified start; the worker then attempts to sell remaining shares at available bids, potentially at a loss. Existing holdings or resting orders on a market still block a new entry. OFF cancels offers and leaves holdings open.
Waiting for worker status.
KALSHI ACCOUNT / ACTUAL RECORDS
Open & Closed Trades
Loading Kalshi positions and closed results...
Primary account, all markets, including manual activity. Trades closed or updated from September 12, 2026 onward (Central time), grouped by market. Partially sold positions stay Open. Closed results include returned collateral and reported fees; incomplete cash flows are marked Unverified.
Open Trades
Closed Trades
01 / FIND A MARKET
Sports markets
Start times in Central · All monetary amounts are USD; prices are not model predictions
Loading live sports markets…
02 / BUILD YOUR PLAN
Take-profit calculator
Choose a market to begin
Select a team’s YES or NO contract on the left. Your entry and exit will use that side’s prices.
- Whole contracts
- Estimated entry cost
- Entry + exit fees
- Maximum entry loss, with fee reserve
- Net if fills split one contract at a time
Target assumes a complete fill at the chosen price. A displayed price or a last trade is not a fill. Auto-sell does not cap losses. Fee refunds are not assumed.
Market resolution rules
Freeze the plan before entering
Saves an immutable plan and reserves its allocation from the $55.00 USD planning cap. It does not send an order or reserve money at Kalshi.
COMBOS / QUOTE CHECK
Build a combo to compare
Add winner or spread selections above, then copy the actual cost and maximum payout from Kalshi’s combo ticket. No independence assumption, synthetic quote, or early-resale promise.
Add two or more selections to compare a combo.
Break-even applies only to a binary all-win/all-lose payout. Scalar settlements can reduce payout. Kalshi must accept the combination and provide a fresh quote; an early sell or auto-sell is not assumed for this pilot.
03 / FOLLOW THROUGH
Pilot journal
Plans are timestamped before execution. Each game is one shared cohort. Actual fills below remain separate from hypothetical exits.
No committed plans yet. Start with a market and an exit target.
04 / EXCHANGE RECORD
Your sports activity
Read-only account sync. This shows sports activity from September 12, 2026 onward, including today’s pilot. Actual orders execute at Kalshi.
Checking positions, resting orders and recent fills…
EXTERNAL DATA / FREE FIRST
Sports scores & schedules
Choose a sport above, then a league feed here. Compare participants, start time and settlement rules with your Kalshi contract. These records do not assign probabilities to contracts.
Optional bookmaker odds
Free schedules need no odds subscription. Bookmaker odds require an optional server API key.
One region and one market per request; cached for six hours, with a shared daily allowance of 12 requests by default. Bookmaker odds include margin and are not model probabilities.
INDEPENDENT / FORWARD-ONLY
College-football prediction scorekeeper
Uses completed games from this season and last season to estimate team points, margin and total. The fixed comparison uses last season only. Raw probabilities are uncalibrated. Player-level predictions and injury adjustments are not available in this version.
No forecasts loaded. Predictions are recorded independently of paper-trade selection.
AUTOMATIC / PRICE-PATH RESEARCH
Sports market scanner
Records observed YES and NO quotes across discovered sports series. The college-football pilot refreshes each minute; other sports rotate in bounded batches. Missing markets, unknown game dates and unverified player or combo models remain visible as coverage limits.
Waiting for background scan…
Cash-out probability: not yet estimated. These are price observations and experimental targets, not proven opportunities. A target is reached only when a later executable bid covers the position and its fees.
AUTOMATED / SIMULATED CAPITAL
College-football cash-out paper experiment
Tests temporary price moves in winner, spread and total markets before and during games. A narrow-spread filter selects experimental entries using $5.00 USD virtual allocations, three open positions maximum and no cumulative virtual spending cap. Selection does not imply a high target-hit probability.
An odds-scaled target is frozen at entry. The first observed full-depth net return at or above the target triggers a paper exit. A 20% loss review or 60-minute deadline also attempts an exit. Missed targets, losses, unavailable depth and settlement without cash-out remain in the record.
The server checks every minute even with this page closed. It can miss brief moves between checks. No player props or combos are entered automatically: neither target-hit estimates nor executable joint resale quotes are implemented.
Opening your workspace…